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Two Key Factors To Consider Before Taking Your Money Out Of The Stock Market

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Two Key Factors To Consider Before Taking Your Money Out Of The Stock Market

By David Pritchard

 

As stock markets face turbulence, investors tend to get nervous, and the UK market has been a particularly stormy sea over the past year. With rising inflation concerns and a potential recession, it’s certainly had a tough time.

As a result, most investments have fallen over the last 18 months. This development, coupled with the cash deposit rates many banks currently offer, raises a new question for investors.

Should you sell some of your investments and move them over into deposits?

In this blog, we’ll explore whether your money is better off in the market or in the bank. There are two key factors to consider before making this investment decision.

1. Selling your investments could mean crystallising the loss

The value of any investment may go up or down, depending on the state of play within the market. However, if your investments have lost value and you sell them, you “lock in” those losses, and they become real and permanent. Once you sell, you can’t recover your losses even if the investment would have gone back up in value later on.

Many investments, over a medium to long term, usually outpace inflation and will eventually recoup any temporary losses. This means that if you’re patient and hold onto your investments, there’s a good chance that they will recover their value over the next one to two years.

2. Deposit rates have traditionally always underperformed inflation

While keeping your money in a bank is stable and not volatile (it won’t suddenly drop in value like a stock might), you’re still effectively losing money due to inflation. Deposit rates have traditionally always underperformed inflation.

At the moment, inflation is just under seven per cent while deposit rates are at five per cent. This means you’re essentially losing two per cent of your money’s purchasing power each year. At the end of the day, you won’t be able to make any positive returns because your money’s value isn’t growing faster than the rate of inflation.

The market will recover

The equity market, property market and fixed interest market are likely to recover in value over time. They currently look cheap (particularly in the equity market), so if you have extra money lying around, now might be a good time to invest.

Inflation will likely drop to five per cent by the end of this year, and go even lower to about two to three per cent by 2024. Interest rates are expected to follow the same trend, and regardless of where they end up, these rates will likely still be lower than the rate of inflation. 

That means that even future ‘high’ interest rates won’t necessarily be a good deal when you consider the loss in buying power due to inflation.

The bottom line

In general, it’s not about trying to pick the perfect moment to buy or sell (timing the market), but rather about how long you can keep your money invested (time in the market). Medium to long-term investments will always outperform deposit rates and inflation in normal terms. 

The longer you keep your money in various investments, the more opportunity there is for those investments to grow.

Our overall recommendation is: whatever cash you do keep in the bank, try to get the best deal you can in terms of interest rates. This will help your rainy day fund increase over time.

For the rest of your money – the part that’s invested in things like stocks, property or bonds  – don’t rush to sell them off simply because their value has dropped. Hold onto them until they (eventually) recover.

If you’d like to find out more about how to protect the value of your investments, stay tuned to our podcast, A Dab Of Investment.

And if you’d welcome our input, expertise and experience, please get in touch by emailing me at david@applewoodindependent.co.uk.

The views expressed in this article are those of the author and do not constitute financial advice. Applewood Independent Ltd is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. For financial advice designed for you and your specific circumstances, please contact the author using the contact details provided in this article or, alternatively, contact the Applewood Independent Ltd office on 01270 626555.

The value of your investment can go down as well as up, and you may not get back the full amount invested.

Past performance is not a guide to future performance.

 

Proud Sponsors of the Nantwich Food Festival 2023

Proud Sponsor of the Nantwich Food Festival

By Applewood Independent

 

Applewood Independent are proud to have sponsored this year’s Opening Festival and the Love Lane Marquee at the Nantwich Food Festival.

The sun was shining and what another amazing weekend of events. Nantwich Food Festival is one of the largest free entry food festivals in the UK and brings local companies together along with the community.

The streets were full, and the atmosphere was like no other. Food, drink, and local businesses all turned out to showcase themselves and the stands and stalls were as striking as ever before.

We just love to see the community coming together and that’s why it’s so important to us as a business to give back and get involved in these incredible local events.

 

Understanding Alternative Investments: Should You Invest In Alternative Assets?

Wondering how Jeremy Hunt's changes to pensions taxes will affect you? Learn more about the budget 2023 and how it could impact your pension savings.

Understanding Alternative Investments: Should You Invest In Alternative Assets?

By David Pritchard

 

Could fine wine and art have a place in your investment portfolio?

Beyond traditional stocks and shares, there are other exotic ways to generate returns on your investment – as long as you know what you’re doing. They’re called alternative investments. Alternative investments have been around for many years – albeit having a relatively low profile among mainstream investors.

But what are these alternatives? And are they better than your traditional equity markets?

Read on to find out more.

What are alternative investments?

 Alternative investments are investments outside the scope of conventional assets (such as stocks and bonds). These can be commercial property, infrastructure or, in many cases, collectables such as antiques, art, classic cars and fine wine.

 For the purpose of this blog, most of our focus will be on collectables.

 These assets – when purchased through a reputable dealer who knows the market – can be a useful addition to your investment portfolio. However, there are a few downsides to be aware of.

The cons of collectable investments

 A major downside to these assets is that they typically do not generate income comparable to an equity portfolio.

 Unlike an equity portfolio which is easily sellable, investable and pretty liquid (meaning you could sell it today and get your money in a few days), collectables often lack these advantages. If people don’t like the piece of art or vintage wine you have, you may not be able to sell it as quickly or for as much as you would wish.

 There’s also the fact that you need to store the item and insure it, all of which costs money. So, it’s highly important to consider carefully whether these added costs will wipe out any returns you earn on the asset.

Should you invest in alternative assets?

 Investing in something like art or antiques can be an interesting hobby, no doubt. But, I certainly wouldn’t suggest that they should form the bulk of your investment portfolio unless you’re an expert in the specific field.

 We once had a client who invested tens of thousands of pounds into a wine collection without prior consultation. It turned out that the fees he paid were over the market average, and his storage costs were also higher than usual. In the end, he managed to get rid of the wine – though not without losing a significant amount of money.

 That’s why it’s so important to speak to an independent financial adviser before you inject money into any asset at all.

In a nutshell

 To round up: many physical alternative investments can be beneficial in the sense that in addition to it being an investment, you can physically own the assets and even get to enjoy them in the meantime. But as with any other investment pathway, you need to watch out for potential pitfalls.

 Essentially, it’s still risky to invest in anything – whether that’s commercial property, fixed-interest funds or collectables. So, if you have an interest in collectable assets, do your research and find a reputable dealer to help you. Bear in mind that these dealers will always try to sell you something in order to make a profit.

 In addition to these best practices, diversify your assets and compare your return on investments after costs to see if it’s a better or similar return to what an equity-based portfolio would typically yield.

 For more information on alternative investments, check out the latest episode of our podcast, A Dab Of Investment. 

 And if you’d welcome our input, expertise and experience, please get in touch by emailing me at david@applewoodindependent.co.uk.

The views expressed in this article are those of the author and do not constitute financial advice. Applewood Independent Ltd is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. For financial advice designed for you and your specific circumstances, please contact the author using the contact details provided in this article or, alternatively, contact the Applewood Independent Ltd office on 01270 626555.

The value of your investment can go down as well as up, and you may not get back the full amount invested.

Past performance is not a guide to future performance.

 

A Guide To Investment Funds: How To Choose The Right Ones

Wondering how Jeremy Hunt's changes to pensions taxes will affect you? Learn more about the budget 2023 and how it could impact your pension savings.

A Guide To Investment Funds: How To Choose The Right Ones

By Alex Pritchard

 

“Would you recommend this fund? How would you assess this provider’s performance?”

Often, we receive inquiries from clients who want to know if we would recommend a specific investment fund or provider. While these questions may be valid, they’re a bit like asking someone about the taste of their microwave meal when they’re simply wheeling around an empty Tesco shopping trolley. 

In this analogy,  the providers are the shopping trolleys – they’re all similar with varying costs. But these differences in cost have no significant impact on performance. Ultimately, it’s the contents you place inside the trolley – the funds, geographical location, asset class, risk, and more – that truly shape the performance and outcomes you can expect.

In this blog post, we’ll examine what investment funds are through the lens of a specific fund we use (for anonymity, let’s call this fund X). We’ll also delve into our approach to selecting the ideal funds for investment here at Applewood Independent. 

How investment funds work

Fund X is a UK equity income fund which means that its primary aim is to generate both returns and a decent yield. Now, investment funds are required to facilitate their main goal  – what it says on the tin  – with at least 80 per cent of the money that’s in the fund. 

This means that a fund MUST invest at least 80 per cent of its assets consistent with its name while the remaining 20 per cent may be put into any other type of investments. For example, a fund that incorporates the term “growth” in its name would have to allocate at least 80 per cent of its assets towards investments in growth stocks.

Fund X fulfils this requirement, with approximately 95 per cent of its holdings consisting of FTSE 100 assets. What’s more, the fund carries a fee of around 0.75 per cent per annum, which falls within the industry’s standard range.

Having established these key details, some of the crucial questions to ask when evaluating investment funds are: what does this fund do? What specific assets or sectors does it invest in? 

How we manage our risk portfolio 

At Applewood Independent, our investment approach begins with establishing a comprehensive overview. Once we have a clear understanding of the big picture, we then break it down to a specific geographic location. For instance, if you have been following our blogs and podcasts for a while, you will have noticed our keen interest in the current value within the UK domestic market.

Subsequently, we may allocate 60 per cent of an average-risk portfolio to the UK stock market. This 60 per cent allocation is then diversified across multiple funds that specialise in the UK market.

It’s important to note we would never advise placing 60 per cent of your money in a single fund. Typically, we limit our allocation in any single fund to no more than 10 or 12 per cent to ensure appropriate diversification and mitigate risk.

Fund X and the current market

Over the past few months, we have actively engaged in fund manager meetings, consolidating viewpoints and reaching a general consensus. 

During one of such meetings, we ran an analysis on Fund X and arrived at a noteworthy finding: Fund X currently boasts a six per cent yield. It’s important to note that yields are typically quoted on a 12-month rolling basis. This means that this six per cent yield represents the dividend generated in the preceding 12 months.

Does this scream value?

It certainly does, especially when taking into account that the historical average for the UK market stands at four per cent. Based on our analysis and other looming factors, we expect that the yield could potentially reach eight or even ten per cent this year. What’s more, the viability of this particular fund does lie in consensus with our viewpoint of the UK. 

If certain variables such as inflation, interest rates, cost of living and political stability become more favourable, they will help mitigate uncertainties in the UK. This, in turn, is likely to attract greater interest from overseas investors in funds like Fund X. Consequently, the increased demand would drive up its share price, presenting potential for further growth. 

A reminder for investors

As always, we’re passionate about finding value, funds and performance that nobody else can find, and we’ve certainly found it over the last three years.

At the end of the day, making informed decisions is crucial to unlocking exceptional performance. While many people are still fixated on charges, true performance stems from selecting the right fund and getting it right ahead of time before it realises its full value. 

Want to find out more about investment funds and our approach to selecting the right ones? Listen to our latest episode of A Dab Of Investment for further insights and tips.

In the meantime, if you’d welcome our input, expertise and experience, please get in touch by emailing me at alex@applewoodindependent.co.uk

The views expressed in this article are those of the author and do not constitute financial advice. Applewood Independent Ltd is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. For financial advice designed for you and your specific circumstances, please contact the author using the contact details provided in this article or, alternatively, contact the Applewood Independent Ltd office on 01270 626555.

The value of your investment can go down as well as up, and you may not get back the full amount invested.

Past performance is not a guide to future performance.